Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.313093 0.414500 0.525787 0.655062 0.799379 0.954037 1.130899
2025-08-31 0.160065 0.284820 0.440115 0.637555 0.873793 1.140903 1.459963
2025-09-07 0.096179 0.225270 0.403497 0.644714 0.945909 1.296906 1.725898
2025-09-14 0.051244 0.173396 0.363765 0.638056 0.994139 1.419988 1.950359
2025-09-21 0.022000 0.129007 0.322701 0.620471 1.021522 1.512386 2.133725
2025-09-28 0.012192 0.116052 0.325113 0.659360 1.118962 1.688568 2.415749
2025-10-05 0.006796 0.109143 0.335172 0.707716 1.227894 1.878419 2.713944
2025-10-12 0.002679 0.099333 0.337838 0.743920 1.319893 2.046728 2.985859
2025-10-19 0.001222 0.098284 0.355670 0.802329 1.441521 2.252205 3.303137
2025-10-26 0.000180 0.092905 0.363986 0.845681 1.542462 2.431505 3.588518
2025-11-02 NaN 0.078275 0.350997 0.854618 1.595456 2.549446 3.798335
2025-11-09 NaN 0.050972 0.303000 0.803953 1.563274 2.556717 3.870342
2025-11-16 NaN 0.027739 0.253296 0.747060 1.522456 2.555315 3.936233
2025-11-23 NaN 0.016369 0.227453 0.727416 1.533271 2.620402 4.085019
2025-11-30 NaN 0.011137 0.217972 0.735330 1.583268 2.736250 4.296880
2025-12-07 NaN 0.005852 0.201423 0.728128 1.609766 2.820292 4.468174
2025-12-14 NaN 0.001848 0.180279 0.709285 1.617186 2.877814 4.605032
2025-12-21 NaN 0.001685 0.189277 0.750968 1.717309 3.060520 4.902012
2025-12-28 NaN 0.001933 0.203107 0.802697 1.833077 3.264590 5.226584
2026-01-04 NaN 0.001653 0.210578 0.841355 1.928749 3.441566 5.516634
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002312 0.229427 0.903606 2.061012 3.668299 5.870650
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002308 0.240431 0.949725 2.168446 3.861513 6.181900
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001049 0.233836 0.959224 2.219188 3.977873 6.394718